GMDSS_METAREA10-SE_INMARSAT ========== Caution: NAVIMAIL is not part of the Maritime Safety Information's operational data stream and should never be relied upon as the only means to obtain the latest forecast and warning information. Access to the service may be interrupted or delayed from time to time, update may also experience occasional gaps. Please refer to GMDSS OFFICIAL sources, Inmarsat SafetyNET or international NAVTEX services, for more complete information ========== FQAU22 AMRF 022239 IDY10210 SECURITE HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA 28S/50S, 129E/170E. ISSUED BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL AND OCEANOGRAPHIC CENTRE FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 02 SEPTEMBER 2010 PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Part 1 Warnings Adelaide Gale Warning issued 021825UTC: Area bounded by 48S129E 50S135E 50S129E 48S129E. Melbourne Gale Warning issued 021850UTC: Area bounded by 48S141E 48S150E 40S160E 50S160E 50S141E 48S141E. New Zealand Gale Warning 072 issued 021800UTC: Front 31S168E 33S172E 35S176E moving east 30kt. Within 180 nautical miles east of front: Northwest 35kt developing next 6-12 hours. Gale area then moving with front. New Zealand Gale Warning 073 issued 021800UTC: Over waters east of 160E. Front 38S161E 43S168E 47S172E moving northeast 35kt. Within 840 nautical miles southwest of front: Southwest 40kt. Gale area moving with front. Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC Refer to latest warnings. Ridge near 41S129E to high 1025 hPa near 43S143E to 37S150E. Forecast near 41S129E 44S143E 43S150E to high 1027 hPa near 39S155E to 35S160E at 030600UTC and near 41S129E 45S137E 45S155E to high 1029 hPa near 36S162E to 33S165E at 031800UTC. Developing low forecast 1003 hPa near 31S135E at 030001UTC, 998 hPa near 34S136E at 030600UTC and 997 hPa near 35S137E at 031200UTC and 992 hPa near 36S138E 031800UTC. Cold front/trough 29S154E 33S170E. Forecast 28S160E 28S166E 30S170E at 030600UTC then east of area by 031200UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings. Within 120 nm of ridge and 180 nm of high: Variable winds to 15 knots. Slight seas and moderate swell. Remainder northwest of ridge outside warning area: NE quarter winds shifting SE quarter west of 145E and tending clockwise within 300 nm of low. Wind speeds 15/25 knots grading to 20/30 knots within 300 nm of low and east of 148E after 030300UTC. Winds increasing to 25/33 knots within 240nm of low after 030900UTC and reaching gale force by 031200UTC (refer to Adelaide Ocean Warning). Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder northeast of front/trough and outside of warning area. W/NW winds 20/30 knots. Moderate to rough seas and moderate swell. Remainder south of ridge and front/trough outside warning areas: W/SW winds east of 150E, turning W/NW west of 150E. Wind speeds 15/25 knots grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas and also south of 47S. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 360 nm of low reducing visibility to less than 2 nm. Scattered showers within 180 nm of front/trough reducing visibility to less than 3 nm. Isolated showers remainder south of ridge reducing visibility to less than 3 nm. WEATHER MELBOURNE ==========