GMDSS_METAREA7_INMARSAT ========== Caution: NAVIMAIL is not part of the Maritime Safety Information's operational data stream and should never be relied upon as the only means to obtain the latest forecast and warning information. Access to the service may be interrupted or delayed from time to time, update may also experience occasional gaps. Please refer to GMDSS OFFICIAL sources, Inmarsat SafetyNET or international NAVTEX services, for more complete information ========== FQZA31 FAPR 081800 SECURITE: ========= WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 8th oF FEBRUARY 2010 AT 18:00 UTC FOR SOUTHEAST SECTOR OF METAREA VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC. WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METRES. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE WARNING(S): ================ 1. TRISTAN : SW to W 30 to 35 in the east at first. SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 12:00 UTC =============================== High 1016 hPa 20s20w High 1022 hPa 40s23e High 1022 hPa 35s47e Low 970 hPa 47s05w Low 982 hPa 55s14e Low 1012 hPa 45s48e Low 978 hPa 58s43e 1. Cold front: 35s09w 40s03w 45s02w 47s05w 2. Cold front: 45s23e 50s23e 55s21e 55s14e 3. Cold front: 40s41e 45s48e 50s51e 55s52e 58s43e AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W) WIND : SE 10 to 15. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/WEST COAST) WIND : SE 10 but S to SW 5 to 10 in the east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W) WIND : SE 10 but W to NW 10 to 20 in the south. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3m in the south, SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST) WIND : SE 15 to 20, but NW 15 to 25 in the south-west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 2.5m, Sw swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W) WIND : SW to W 30 to 35 in the east at first, becoming NE to NW 15 to 25 in the west. VIS : Poor in showers in the east at first. SEA STATE: 3.0m to 4.0m, Sw swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E) WIND : SW to NW 20 to 30. VIS : Poor in rain and showers in the west, spreading east. SEA STATE: 3m reaching 4m in the south, Sw swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E) WIND : Variable 10 to 15 in the east, but NE to N 20 to 30 in the west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3m to 3.5m in the south, Sw swell. DURBAN EAST (25S/32.5S, EAST COAST/55E) WIND : NE 15 to 25 in the west, otherwise E to SE 15 to 25. VIS : Good. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 5 to 10 in the north but SE 15 to 20 in the south. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 2.0 to 2.5m, with SW swell. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : S to SE 15 to 20, reaching 25 in the south. VIS : Good. MARION FORTIES EAST: (40S/50S, 35E/50E) WIND : SW 15 to 25, becoming variable 10 in the north-west and W to NW 20 to 25 in the south-west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0m to 4m in the south, W to NW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE : 08/02/2010 UTC TIME : 1800 AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE. PART 1: WARNING : NIL. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 10/02/08 AT 1200 UTC : - COLD FRONT CF AXIS 25S/64E, 33S/75E, 35S/79E, 37S/82E, ALMOST STATIONNARY. - COLD FRONT CG AXIS 38S/28E, 45S/46E, 50S/51E, 55S/54E, 59S/52E WITH LOW 974 HPA NEAR 58S/40E MOVING EASTWARD 20/25 KT. - LOW 1008 HPA NEAR 46S/67E, WITH OCCLUSION AXIS 41S/68E, 45S/57E, 50S/58E, 55S/65E, 50S/75E, 47S/85E, 43S/92E, ALMOST STATIONNARY. - HIGH 1024 HPA NEAR 34S/46E EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD BY A RIDGE. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 08/02/2010 AT 1800 UTC TO 09/02/2010 AT 1800 UTC : WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E) : FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREA IN END OF PERIOD WIND : SOUTHWESTERLY 3/5, BACKING S 3/4 OVER NORTHERN AREA THEN SETTING UP W 3/4 AHEAD CG OVER SOUTHERN AREA IN END OF PERIOD. SEA : MODERATE. VIS : GOOD. AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E) : FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS WIND : N-W 3/4 AHEAD OF CF, BACKING WESTERLY 4/5 FROM WESTERN AREA BEHIND. SEA : MODERATE. VIS : POOR IN RAIN AND SHOWERS. CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E) : FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS. WIND : S-W 4/5 SETTING UP N-W 4/5 AHEAD CG BACKING S-W 4/5 BEHIND. SEA : MODERATE BECOMING ROUGH OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREA IN END OF PERIOD. ARRIVAL OF MODERATE S-W SWELL OVER SOUTHWESTERN AREA IN END OF PERIOD. VIS: POOR IN RAIN AND SHOWERS. KER (40S/50S,65E/80E) : RAIN AND SHOWERS IN OCCLUSION. WIND : WEAKLY CLOCKWISE 3/4, SETTING UP N-W 3 /4 OVER WESTERN AREA IN END OF PERIOD. SEA : MODERATE. VIS : POOR IN RAIN AND SHOWERS.= ==========